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Climate forecast: what is wrong? Wrong US winter forecast 2012

3已有 7749 次阅读  2012-02-08 22:05   标签wrong 
Back in October 2011, Scientific America published an article saying the winter 2012 will be extremely cold."Brutal Winter Predicted for U.S.", says the title. Quoting with beautiful "subjective" figure like below:



The quoted expert from accuweather.com even joked a bit, “People in Chicago are going to want to move after this winter.”

While I was hoping their forecasts would bring a wild skiing season in the Northeast, an usually warm winter shattered my plan. So what went wrong?

I actually don't know what the climate guys based their forecasts on. But if too much subjective things are involved, they would not be called scientists anymore.


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发表评论 评论 (5 个评论)

  • lita 2012-02-09 09:18
    天气反常,科学家显得无招数了。
  • 夜夜笙歌 2012-02-09 10:49
    科学斗不过自然。
  • 何鸿燊 2012-02-10 04:18
    老天爷自己难道不能做主了?
  • not4weak 2012-02-10 18:29
    yeyeshengge: 科学斗不过自然。
    其实我的主要意思是这几个人根本不是科学家,如果按LA NINA的图去看,根本看不出今年要冷冬的。
  • 夜夜笙歌 2012-02-11 10:49
    not4weak: 其实我的主要意思是这几个人根本不是科学家,如果按LA NINA的图去看,根本看不出今年要冷冬的。
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